Target Numbers and probability

[Glorelendil]

Oh, OK, I didn't notice that line, my bad. Was there a reason not to draw from 0 to 11 and consider 11 as a gandalf?

Not a good one. I was using a different scheme in an earlier iteration, and this was the bandaid when I changed it. I didn't know what else I would break if I changed it more. I wanted to leave Gandalf as 12 because....like I said, no good reason.

[Evening]

And I made a mistake in my simulations... I stupidly rolled rand(5)+1 instead of rand(6)+1 for success dice.

It's still a decent comparison. Could you post your new results?

Here's an app that rolls dice 25,000 times for each skill level and displays the results by TN 12 through 20:

Any chance you could post your results as well?

[Glorelendil]

Any chance you could post your results as well?

Click the links in the post.

[Evening]

ehh.. I'll pass.

I've been Rickrolled too many times.

[Yusei]

And I made a mistake in my simulations... I stupidly rolled rand(5)+1 instead of rand(6)+1 for success dice.

It's still a decent comparison. Could you post your new results?

I've edited my posts with the new results. All figures are higher, but it doesn't change the overall differences between having 3 or 4 dice, for example.