Given that his brithyear is TA 1967... by the time of the hobbit, 1000 years have passed. Given a typical human generation time of 20-25 years... (SOme families as low as 16 to first child; others as high as 30 to first child are not uncommon).. Let's assume Beorn's get is 50 per generation for at least the first 5... and GB has 2, while his get have 3 survivors to breed each...Otaku-sempai wrote:The opposite, I would think. It is a much bigger deal if Grimbeorn becomes an uncle rather than being an only child.aramis wrote:As long as that child lived to breed, that's not a big issue...Otaku-sempai wrote:Not bad, although it's not very useful until the last years of the Third Age and into the Fourth. Granted, we don't know whether or not Beorn sired more than one child.
Assuming Grimbeorn is an only, but sires 2... at 50 and statistically normal 54... and 4 score liifespans... then 3 per child...
So we get a mental model of...
Several hundred within 300 years, and several thousand by a thousand years. If grimbeorn has a sibling who bears the gift... it merely doubles. by 21
So, gen 1 is 2017-2021, gives us 2
Gen 2 is 2067-2083, gives us 6 more
Gen 3 is 2117-2141, gives us 18 more
Gen 4 is 2167-2199, gives us 54 more, but loses us 2.
Gen 5 is 2217-2367, gives us 162 more, loses us 6.
Gen 6 is 2247-2415, gives us 486 more, loses us some dozen.
Now, that's a high end estimate, but if we get more than one survivor in more than one generation, we get lots bearing the bearform.
Yes, the puns are intentional.
It's entirely possible that half the beornings have a smidgeon of Beorn's bloodline.